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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| boyau | ndb1 | primm | UpTheBlues | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 41% (171–244, n=415) | 63% (993–578, n=1571) | 50% (1144–1155, n=2299) | 50% (20622–20404, n=41026) |
| Consensus PnL | $799K | $4.8M | $3.6M | $3.1M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #344 | PM monthly #96 | PM monthly #47 | PM monthly #8 |
| Sides with the consensus | 83% (25 of 30 open) | 71% (58 of 82 open) | 75% (3 of 4 open) | 70% (31 of 44 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | NFL −8 pts, n=147 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 37% of 411 at avg 31¢, ROI +1% | 64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% | 99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% | 100% of 39731 at avg 67¢, ROI +36% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 59% (won 10% of 242) | 13% (won 14% of 187) | 5% (won 94% of 51) | 7% (won 99% of 2699) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 15% (won 59% of 61) | 19% (won 39% of 269) | 41% (won 99% of 421) | 20% (won 100% of 7974) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 13% (won 74% of 54) | 23% (won 57% of 328) | 49% (won 99% of 508) | 22% (won 100% of 8588) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 13% (won 100% of 54) | 44% (won 94% of 622) | 5% (won 100% of 47) | 52% (won 100% of 20470) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | boyau | ndb1 | primm | UpTheBlues |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026? same side · consensus No | No $69K | No $29K | — | — |
| Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026? same side · consensus No | No $20K | No $42K | — | — |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026? same side · consensus No | No $15K | No $678 | — | — |