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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
btnaFlaznorpjoseph00677primm
Record (consensus markets)66% (42–22, n=64)52% (6434–6029, n=12463)45% (10–12, n=22)50% (1116–1127, n=2243)
Consensus PnL$53K$3.6M$5.3M$3.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #550PM monthly #11PM monthly #2PM monthly #53
Sides with the consensus70% (7 of 10 open)75% (210 of 279 open)no open consensus position0% (0 of 1 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22——
Settled positions, side won64% of 44 at avg 53¢, ROI +14%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%99% of 1020 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢25% (won 36% of 11)29% (won 11% of 465)12% (won 0% of 2)5% (won 94% of 51)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 57% of 7)16% (won 40% of 255)6% (won 0% of 1)41% (won 99% of 418)
Entries 50–70¢32% (won 64% of 14)16% (won 62% of 260)65% (won 73% of 11)49% (won 99% of 504)
Entries 70¢ and up27% (won 92% of 12)39% (won 94% of 637)18% (won 67% of 3)5% (won 100% of 47)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketbtnaFlaznorpjoseph00677primm
Will Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $18KNo $195——
Will Al Ahli Saudi Club vs. Al Taawoun Saudi Club end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $4.5KNo $139——
Will Al Faisaly Saudi Club vs. Al Diraiyah Saudi Club end in a draw?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $13KYes $191——