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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| bullishkirby | RN1 | BreakTheBank | 00gringo00 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 76% (104–33, n=137) | 47% (13854–15338, n=29192) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) | 75% (6–2, n=8) |
| Consensus PnL | $86K | $13.4M | $10.6M | $3.5M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #928 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #19 |
| Sides with the consensus | 0% (0 of 6 open) | 75% (3 of 4 open) | 89% (127 of 142 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
|
| none with 10+ settled | |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 91% of 120 at avg 80¢, ROI +6% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 8% (won 22% of 9) | 10% (won 57% of 2537) | 10% (won 82% of 56) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 7% (won 88% of 8) | 22% (won 94% of 5518) | 36% (won 98% of 198) | 0% |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 9% (won 82% of 11) | 36% (won 99% of 8928) | 35% (won 99% of 191) | 100% (won 86% of 7) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 77% (won 99% of 92) | 32% (won 100% of 7821) | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | bullishkirby | RN1 | BreakTheBank | 00gringo00 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $38K | — | Yes $274K | — |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $13K | — | Yes $172K | — |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus Yes | No $25K | — | No $202K | — |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus No | Yes $121 | — | Yes $85K | — |