← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| cambridgeisaac | BreakTheBank | CORGII | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 59% (579–405, n=984) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) | 62% (393–245, n=638) |
| Consensus PnL | $59K | $10.6M | $4.5M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #867 + pinned | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #68 |
| Sides with the consensus | 58% (50 of 86 open) | 79% (53 of 67 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
| ||
| Weakest topic | Elections −5 pts, n=148 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 69% of 1369 at avg 65¢, ROI +7% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 19% (won 6% of 259) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 9% (won 92% of 36) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 8% (won 28% of 109) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 56% (won 99% of 223) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 11% (won 72% of 152) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 33% (won 100% of 133) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 62% (won 92% of 849) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 2% (won 100% of 7) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | cambridgeisaac | BreakTheBank | CORGII |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $8.4K | No $35K | — |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $3.2K | No $16K | — |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House same side · consensus Yes | Yes $302 | Yes $172K | — |
| Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $128 | Yes $2.5K | — |