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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
cashybeachboy40x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241RN1
Record (consensus markets)68% (273–131, n=404)68% (43–20, n=63)56% (101–79, n=180)48% (12823–13908, n=26731)
Consensus PnL$561K$5.8M$3.5M$13.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #817 + pinnedwas PM monthly #24was PM monthly #373PM monthly #24 + pinned
Sides with the consensus33% (7 of 21 open)100% (1 of 1 open)no open consensus position61% (28 of 46 open)
Strongest topics
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
  • MLB +46 pts n=20, ROI +49%
  • Esports +35 pts n=28, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +30 pts n=52, ROI +38%
Weakest topicFinance −9 pts, n=15NBA −6 pts, n=92——
Settled positions, side won64% of 706 at avg 57¢, ROI +7%57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 12% of 204)3% (won 17% of 6)7% (won 75% of 8)10% (won 56% of 2534)
Entries 30–50¢12% (won 50% of 88)29% (won 56% of 62)26% (won 93% of 29)22% (won 94% of 5497)
Entries 50–70¢12% (won 77% of 87)54% (won 51% of 115)42% (won 96% of 47)36% (won 99% of 8897)
Entries 70¢ and up46% (won 96% of 327)14% (won 86% of 29)24% (won 96% of 27)31% (won 100% of 7736)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.