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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| cigarettes | joseph00677 | pleaseplease123 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 47% (14065–15552, n=29617) | 45% (10–12, n=22) | no settled market | 48% (14148–15609, n=29757) |
| Consensus PnL | -$191K | $5.3M | — | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #113 | PM monthly #2 | — | PM monthly #30 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 63% (386 of 611 open) | no open consensus position | no open consensus position | 56% (61 of 109 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| not computed yet |
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| Weakest topic | Other Sports −4 pts, n=401 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 40% of 13811 at avg 41¢, ROI 0% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | — | 94% of 25960 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 50% (won 4% of 6922) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | — | 10% (won 57% of 2588) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 11% (won 35% of 1468) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | — | 22% (won 94% of 5673) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 9% (won 63% of 1185) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | — | 35% (won 99% of 9163) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 31% (won 94% of 4236) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | — | 33% (won 100% of 8536) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
7 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | cigarettes | joseph00677 | pleaseplease123 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will SK Rapid win on 2026-11-06? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $168 | — | — | No $899 |
| Will AS Nancy-Lorraine win on 2026-11-06? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $117 | — | — | Yes $10K |
| Will Eintracht Braunschweig win on 2026-11-06? same side · consensus No | No $23 | — | — | No $4.0K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $583 | — | — | Over $3.3K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Under | Over $74 | — | — | Over $1.6K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime? same side · consensus Yes | No $339 | — | — | No $529 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Under | Over $74 | — | — | Over $360 |
| W50 Huamantla: Zuzanna Pawlikowska vs Victoria Rodriguez same side · consensus Victoria Rodriguez | Victoria Rodriguez $105 | — | — | Victoria Rodriguez $112 |