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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| cigarettes | joseph00677 | surfandturf | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 49% (10101–10684, n=20785) | 50% (10–10, n=20) | 52% (273–252, n=525) | 47% (13860–15343, n=29203) |
| Consensus PnL | $631K | $5.3M | $4.1M | $13.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #38 | PM monthly #2 | was PM monthly #326 | PM monthly #24 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 68% (289 of 428 open) | no open consensus position | 50% (1 of 2 open) | 67% (4 of 6 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | Esports −5 pts, n=274 | — | NFL −11 pts, n=58 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 42% of 7704 at avg 43¢, ROI −3% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 53% of 536 at avg 53¢, ROI 0% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 49% (won 5% of 3769) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 20% (won 12% of 109) | 10% (won 57% of 2537) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 10% (won 33% of 745) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 21% (won 46% of 114) | 22% (won 94% of 5518) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 9% (won 64% of 707) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 33% (won 60% of 176) | 36% (won 99% of 8928) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 32% (won 95% of 2483) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 26% (won 82% of 137) | 32% (won 100% of 7821) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | cigarettes | joseph00677 | surfandturf | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $1.8K | — | No $2.7K | — |
| Will T1 win Worlds 2026? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $2.7K | — | Yes $2.3K | — |
| Luanda: Isabella Shinikova vs Dune Vaissaud same side · consensus Isabella Shinikova | Dune Vaissaud $13 | — | — | Dune Vaissaud $273 |