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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
cocococococoBreakTheBankbeachboy4
Record (consensus markets)51% (1051–1030, n=2081)45% (526–640, n=1166)68% (43–20, n=63)
Consensus PnL$97K$10.6M$5.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #883 + pinnedPM monthly #1was PM monthly #24
Sides with the consensus80% (117 of 147 open)71% (58 of 82 open)100% (1 of 1 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
Weakest topicEsports −3 pts, n=231—NBA −6 pts, n=92
Settled positions, side won50% of 3250 at avg 49¢, ROI +1%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%
Entries under 30¢22% (won 10% of 715)10% (won 85% of 53)3% (won 17% of 6)
Entries 30–50¢29% (won 43% of 937)36% (won 98% of 192)29% (won 56% of 62)
Entries 50–70¢28% (won 60% of 894)35% (won 99% of 187)54% (won 51% of 115)
Entries 70¢ and up22% (won 90% of 704)20% (won 100% of 107)14% (won 86% of 29)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketcocococococoBreakTheBankbeachboy4
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $3.7KNo $202K—
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $13KNo $35K—
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $1.5KYes $38K—
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $8.9KYes $274K—
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus No
No $1.4KNo $88K—