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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| cowcat | BreakTheBank | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 57% (1103–822, n=1925) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) | 56% (101–79, n=180) |
| Consensus PnL | $74K | $10.6M | $3.5M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #455 | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #373 |
| Sides with the consensus | 61% (109 of 178 open) | 70% (57 of 82 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 84% of 1653 at avg 70¢, ROI +8% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 26% of 274) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 7% (won 75% of 8) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 7% (won 75% of 118) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 26% (won 93% of 29) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 10% (won 91% of 169) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 42% (won 96% of 47) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 66% (won 99% of 1092) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 24% (won 96% of 27) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | cowcat | BreakTheBank | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $2.9K | Yes $172K | — |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $4.6K | No $40K | — |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus Yes | No $2.3K | No $202K | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | No $4.9K | No $88K | — |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus No | Yes $780 | Yes $85K | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $222 | Yes $21K | — |