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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| cowcat | sainttroplay | RN1 | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 57% (1102–815, n=1917) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 48% (12896–14023, n=26919) | 45% (537–650, n=1187) |
| Consensus PnL | $74K | $4.4M | $13.4M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #455 | was PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 39% (23 of 59 open) | no open consensus position | 54% (14 of 26 open) | 79% (57 of 72 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 84% of 1654 at avg 70¢, ROI +8% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 26% of 274) | 0% | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 10% (won 85% of 53) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 7% (won 75% of 118) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 36% (won 98% of 192) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 10% (won 91% of 169) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 35% (won 99% of 187) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 66% (won 99% of 1093) | 0% | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 20% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | cowcat | sainttroplay | RN1 | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $2.9K | — | — | Yes $170K |
| Spread: Commanders (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Commanders | — | — | Eagles $1.2K | Commanders $32K |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus Yes | No $2.6K | — | — | No $202K |
| Spread: Commanders (-6.5) same side · consensus Commanders | — | — | Commanders $3.6K | Commanders $161K |
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | No $5.5K | — | — | No $112K |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus No | Yes $858 | — | — | Yes $85K |