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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
cqs00gringo00BreakTheBankCORGII
Record (consensus markets)66% (151–77, n=228)75% (6–2, n=8)45% (526–640, n=1166)62% (393–245, n=638)
Consensus PnL$309K$3.5M$10.6M$4.5M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #998was PM monthly #19PM monthly #1PM monthly #68
Sides with the consensus67% (10 of 15 open)no open consensus position72% (78 of 108 open)0% (0 of 4 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won69% of 342 at avg 64¢, ROI +5%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%
Entries under 30¢21% (won 8% of 71)0%10% (won 85% of 53)9% (won 92% of 36)
Entries 30–50¢11% (won 47% of 36)0%36% (won 98% of 192)56% (won 99% of 223)
Entries 50–70¢13% (won 69% of 45)100% (won 86% of 7)35% (won 99% of 187)33% (won 100% of 133)
Entries 70¢ and up56% (won 96% of 190)0%20% (won 100% of 107)2% (won 100% of 7)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketcqs00gringo00BreakTheBankCORGII
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $22K—No $184K—
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $15K—Yes $77K—
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $710—No $35K—