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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| cryingbabydicer87 | joseph00677 | ndb1 | UpTheBlues | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 51% (10289–10033, n=20322) | 43% (10–13, n=23) | 63% (1101–635, n=1736) | 51% (28350–27349, n=55699) |
| Consensus PnL | $34K | $3.2M | $4.6M | $1.4M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #699 | PM monthly #7 | PM monthly #109 | PM monthly #10 |
| Sides with the consensus | 86% (129 of 150 open) | no open consensus position | 71% (67 of 95 open) | 64% (47 of 73 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
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| Weakest topic | Crypto −2 pts, n=4195 | — | NFL −8 pts, n=147 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 51% of 4583 at avg 53¢, ROI 0% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% | 100% of 50377 at avg 70¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 41% (won 8% of 1884) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 13% (won 14% of 187) | 7% (won 99% of 3291) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 13% (won 39% of 591) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 19% (won 39% of 269) | 18% (won 100% of 9212) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 8% (won 71% of 373) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 23% (won 57% of 328) | 20% (won 100% of 9904) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 38% (won 97% of 1735) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 44% (won 94% of 622) | 56% (won 100% of 27970) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
10 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.