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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| darkumbreon88 | BreakTheBank | RN1 | beachboy4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 65% (1769–933, n=2702) | 45% (535–643, n=1178) | 48% (12851–13947, n=26798) | 68% (43–20, n=63) |
| Consensus PnL | $172K | $10.6M | $13.4M | $5.8M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #806 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | was PM monthly #24 |
| Sides with the consensus | 67% (10 of 15 open) | 72% (83 of 116 open) | 63% (5 of 8 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 1584 at avg 69¢, ROI +35% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 1% (won 100% of 18) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 3% (won 17% of 6) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 10% (won 100% of 152) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 29% (won 56% of 62) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 38% (won 100% of 595) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 54% (won 51% of 115) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 52% (won 100% of 819) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 14% (won 86% of 29) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | darkumbreon88 | BreakTheBank | RN1 | beachboy4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $8 | — | No $2.4K | — |
| Eagles vs. Commanders same side · consensus Commanders | Commanders $63 | Commanders $1.1M | — | — |
| Guayaquil: Joaquin Aguilar vs Hugo Dellien same side · consensus Joaquin Aguilar | Joaquin Aguilar $9.7K | — | Joaquin Aguilar $3.7K | — |