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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
dashattackerBreakTheBankbeachboy4RN1
Record (consensus markets)74% (2602–922, n=3524)45% (526–640, n=1166)68% (43–20, n=63)48% (12823–13908, n=26731)
Consensus PnL$73K$10.6M$5.8M$13.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #179PM monthly #1was PM monthly #24PM monthly #24 + pinned
Sides with the consensus90% (9 of 10 open)73% (73 of 100 open)100% (1 of 1 open)52% (56 of 108 open)
Strongest topics
  • Soccer +18 pts n=2176, ROI +20%
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
Weakest topic——NBA −6 pts, n=92—
Settled positions, side won100% of 2176 at avg 82¢, ROI +20%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢0% (won 100% of 6)10% (won 85% of 53)3% (won 17% of 6)10% (won 56% of 2534)
Entries 30–50¢1% (won 100% of 23)36% (won 98% of 192)29% (won 56% of 62)22% (won 94% of 5497)
Entries 50–70¢11% (won 100% of 243)35% (won 99% of 187)54% (won 51% of 115)36% (won 99% of 8897)
Entries 70¢ and up88% (won 100% of 1904)20% (won 100% of 107)14% (won 86% of 29)31% (won 100% of 7736)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

5 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketdashattackerBreakTheBankbeachboy4RN1
Cardinals vs. Cowboys
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
—Cardinals $59K—Cowboys $12K
Spread: Cowboys (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
—Cardinals $3.0K—Cowboys $1.4K
SC Braga vs. FC Famalicão: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $1.7K——Over $207
Athletic Club vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $107——Over $526
Spread: Celtics (-6.5)
same side · consensus Magic
—Magic $51K—Magic $228
Spread: Celtics (-8.5)
same side · consensus Magic
—Magic $13K—Magic $161
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $914——Over $382
Athletic Club vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $572——Under $643
SC Braga vs. FC Famalicão: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $423——Under $405