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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
dddtripsBreakTheBankRN1primm
Record (consensus markets)43% (623–821, n=1444)45% (526–640, n=1166)48% (12823–13908, n=26731)50% (941–941, n=1882)
Consensus PnL$92K$10.6M$13.4M$3.4M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #622PM monthly #1PM monthly #24 + pinnedPM monthly #181
Sides with the consensus11% (1 of 9 open)73% (73 of 100 open)64% (21 of 33 open)46% (6 of 13 open)
Strongest topics
  • MLB +32 pts n=71, ROI +32%
  • MMA +33 pts n=49, ROI +33%
  • Soccer +24 pts n=122, ROI +10%
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topicCrypto −9 pts, n=14———
Settled positions, side won73% of 716 at avg 52¢, ROI +20%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢28% (won 32% of 200)10% (won 85% of 53)10% (won 56% of 2534)5% (won 93% of 43)
Entries 30–50¢11% (won 68% of 81)36% (won 98% of 192)22% (won 94% of 5497)41% (won 99% of 366)
Entries 50–70¢27% (won 90% of 192)35% (won 99% of 187)36% (won 99% of 8897)49% (won 99% of 433)
Entries 70¢ and up34% (won 95% of 243)20% (won 100% of 107)31% (won 100% of 7736)5% (won 100% of 41)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketdddtripsBreakTheBankRN1primm
Chiefs vs. Broncos
opposite sides · consensus Chiefs
—Chiefs $465K—Broncos $6.8K
Spread: Buccaneers (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Falcons
——Falcons $2.7KBuccaneers $3.0K
Spread: Celtics (-6.5)
same side · consensus Magic
—Magic $51KMagic $228—
Spread: Celtics (-8.5)
same side · consensus Magic
—Magic $13KMagic $161—