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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| december | RN1 | beachboy4 | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 86% (119–20, n=139) | 48% (12823–13908, n=26731) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 50% (941–941, n=1882) |
| Consensus PnL | $43K | $13.4M | $5.8M | $3.4M |
| Tracked as | Hand-picked | PM monthly #24 + pinned | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #181 |
| Sides with the consensus | 100% (4 of 4 open) | 71% (15 of 21 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 55% (12 of 22 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | Crypto −1 pts, n=31 | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 87% of 175 at avg 87¢, ROI +1% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 11% (won 0% of 19) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 5% (won 93% of 43) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 1% (won 0% of 1) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 41% (won 99% of 366) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 0% | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 49% (won 99% of 433) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 89% (won 99% of 155) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 5% (won 100% of 41) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | december | RN1 | beachboy4 | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Buccaneers (-10.5) opposite sides · consensus Falcons | — | Falcons $2.7K | — | Buccaneers $3.0K |