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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| defillama7 | CORGII | BreakTheBank | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 63% (32–19, n=51) | 61% (393–247, n=640) | 45% (537–652, n=1189) | 48% (12984–14343, n=27327) |
| Consensus PnL | $472K | $4.5M | $10.6M | $13.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #143 | PM monthly #68 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #24 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 70% (7 of 10 open) | 0% (0 of 1 open) | 85% (52 of 61 open) | 33% (1 of 3 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 34 at avg 60¢, ROI +36% | 98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 9% (won 100% of 3) | 9% (won 92% of 36) | 10% (won 82% of 56) | 10% (won 57% of 2537) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 21% (won 100% of 7) | 56% (won 99% of 223) | 36% (won 98% of 198) | 22% (won 94% of 5518) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 41% (won 93% of 14) | 33% (won 100% of 133) | 35% (won 99% of 191) | 36% (won 99% of 8928) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 29% (won 100% of 10) | 2% (won 100% of 7) | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 32% (won 100% of 7821) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | defillama7 | CORGII | BreakTheBank | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $19K | — | No $292K | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $85K | — | Yes $34K | — |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $37K | — | No $32K | — |