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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
depresssinCORGIIBreakTheBankRN1
Record (consensus markets)89% (1228–147, n=1375)62% (393–246, n=639)45% (537–650, n=1187)48% (12930–14106, n=27036)
Consensus PnL-$65K$4.5M$10.6M$13.4M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #950PM monthly #68PM monthly #1PM monthly #24 + pinned
Sides with the consensus100% (1 of 1 open)33% (1 of 3 open)85% (52 of 61 open)64% (7 of 11 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topicTennis −2 pts, n=85———
Settled positions, side won89% of 1285 at avg 89¢, ROI −1%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢6% (won 8% of 79)9% (won 92% of 36)10% (won 85% of 53)10% (won 56% of 2534)
Entries 30–50¢3% (won 37% of 43)56% (won 99% of 223)36% (won 98% of 192)22% (won 94% of 5497)
Entries 50–70¢4% (won 56% of 57)33% (won 100% of 133)35% (won 99% of 187)36% (won 99% of 8897)
Entries 70¢ and up86% (won 98% of 1106)2% (won 100% of 7)20% (won 100% of 107)31% (won 100% of 7736)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketdepresssinCORGIIBreakTheBankRN1
Spread: Commanders (-6.5)
same side · consensus Commanders
——Commanders $188KCommanders $3.8K