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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
donthackmejoseph00677RN1weflyhigh
Record (consensus markets)64% (28578–16304, n=44882)43% (10–13, n=23)48% (19424–21150, n=40574)52% (414–381, n=795)
Consensus PnL$423K$3.2M$14.9M$2.9M
Tracked asPM monthly #202PM monthly #7PM monthly #33 + pinnedHand-picked
Sides with the consensus67% (551 of 818 open)no open consensus position62% (18 of 29 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • Soccer +19 pts n=32, ROI +31%
  • NHL +3 pts n=601, ROI +3%
  • NBA +11 pts n=45, ROI +13%
Weakest topicEntertainment ±0 pts, n=308——Entertainment −21 pts, n=12
Settled positions, side won44% of 7491 at avg 41¢, ROI +13%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%55% of 745 at avg 51¢, ROI +6%
Entries under 30¢50% (won 12% of 3720)12% (won 0% of 2)10% (won 57% of 2594)3% (won 27% of 26)
Entries 30–50¢11% (won 45% of 808)6% (won 0% of 1)22% (won 94% of 5704)41% (won 50% of 302)
Entries 50–70¢12% (won 66% of 893)65% (won 73% of 11)35% (won 99% of 9204)51% (won 58% of 380)
Entries 70¢ and up28% (won 93% of 2070)18% (won 67% of 3)33% (won 100% of 8622)5% (won 89% of 37)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.