← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| ethBELIVER | BreakTheBank | beachboy4 | sainttroplay | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 40% (23–34, n=57) | 45% (537–652, n=1189) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 71% (10–4, n=14) |
| Consensus PnL | $304K | $10.6M | $5.8M | $4.4M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #446 | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #24 | was PM monthly #11 |
| Sides with the consensus | 52% (13 of 25 open) | 85% (53 of 62 open) | 100% (2 of 2 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 88% of 26 at avg 55¢, ROI +25% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 15% (won 25% of 4) | 10% (won 82% of 56) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 23% (won 100% of 6) | 36% (won 98% of 198) | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 27% (won 100% of 7) | 35% (won 99% of 191) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 35% (won 100% of 9) | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | ethBELIVER | BreakTheBank | beachboy4 | sainttroplay |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $787 | Yes $270K | — | — |
| Will Republicans win Iowa, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus No | No $29K | Yes $64K | — | — |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $23K | No $32K | — | — |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House same side · consensus Yes | Yes $9.8K | Yes $170K | — | — |
| Will Republicans win the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? same side · consensus No | Yes $1.6K | Yes $32K | — | — |
| Will Republicans win Kansas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $2.2K | Yes $3.0K | — | — |