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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
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| extractive-manatee | ndb1 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 35% (509–957, n=1466) | 66% (868–456, n=1324) | 47% (14018–15515, n=29533) |
| Consensus PnL | $45K | $4.1M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #996 | PM monthly #69 | PM monthly #24 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 38% (3 of 8 open) | 76% (16 of 21 open) | 59% (55 of 94 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| |
| Weakest topic | NBA −1 pts, n=319 | NFL −10 pts, n=132 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 22% of 1555 at avg 21¢, ROI 0% | 64% of 1258 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 71% (won 5% of 1101) | 13% (won 16% of 160) | 10% (won 57% of 2537) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 12% (won 42% of 182) | 20% (won 39% of 252) | 22% (won 94% of 5518) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 8% (won 64% of 130) | 24% (won 57% of 306) | 36% (won 99% of 8928) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 9% (won 91% of 142) | 43% (won 93% of 540) | 32% (won 100% of 7821) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | extractive-manatee | ndb1 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Hull City be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $1.1K | Yes $5.5K | — |
| Will the Las Vegas Raiders make the 2027 NFL Playoffs? same side · consensus No | No $148 | No $683 | — |