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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
f3arlessbeachboy4RN1BreakTheBank
Record (consensus markets)52% (631–591, n=1222)68% (43–20, n=63)48% (12823–13908, n=26731)45% (526–640, n=1166)
Consensus PnL$288K$5.8M$13.4M$10.6M
Tracked as—was PM monthly #24PM monthly #24 + pinnedPM monthly #1
Sides with the consensus100% (2 of 2 open)100% (1 of 1 open)58% (26 of 45 open)73% (72 of 98 open)
Strongest topics
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topic—NBA −6 pts, n=92——
Settled positions, side won89% of 724 at avg 53¢, ROI +33%57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢18% (won 65% of 127)3% (won 17% of 6)10% (won 56% of 2534)10% (won 85% of 53)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 86% of 174)29% (won 56% of 62)22% (won 94% of 5497)36% (won 98% of 192)
Entries 50–70¢34% (won 95% of 244)54% (won 51% of 115)36% (won 99% of 8897)35% (won 99% of 187)
Entries 70¢ and up25% (won 99% of 179)14% (won 86% of 29)31% (won 100% of 7736)20% (won 100% of 107)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketf3arlessbeachboy4RN1BreakTheBank
Spread: Celtics (-6.5)
same side · consensus Magic
——Magic $228Magic $51K
Spread: Celtics (-8.5)
same side · consensus Magic
——Magic $161Magic $13K
Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $51——Yes $2.5K
Will Brentford win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $14——Yes $182