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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| faceverification | RN1 | sainttroplay | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 71% (24–10, n=34) | 48% (12823–13908, n=26731) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) |
| Consensus PnL | $24K | $13.4M | $4.4M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #997 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | was PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 86% (6 of 7 open) | 54% (64 of 119 open) | no open consensus position | 72% (73 of 102 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 96% of 26 at avg 78¢, ROI +7% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 4% (won 100% of 1) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 0% | 10% (won 85% of 53) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 8% (won 100% of 2) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 36% (won 98% of 192) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 12% (won 67% of 3) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 35% (won 99% of 187) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 77% (won 100% of 20) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 0% | 20% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
5 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | faceverification | RN1 | sainttroplay | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $7.1K | — | — | No $102K |
| Cardinals vs. Cowboys opposite sides · consensus Cowboys | — | Cowboys $12K | — | Cardinals $59K |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House opposite sides · consensus No | No $15K | — | — | Yes $1.1K |
| Spread: Cowboys (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Cowboys | — | Cowboys $1.4K | — | Cardinals $3.0K |
| Spread: Bills (-3.5) same side · consensus Ravens | — | Bills $18K | — | Bills $51K |
| Spread: Celtics (-6.5) same side · consensus Magic | — | Magic $228 | — | Magic $51K |
| Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $8.3K | — | — | Yes $38K |
| Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $15K | — | — | Yes $21K |
| Spread: Celtics (-8.5) same side · consensus Magic | — | Magic $161 | — | Magic $13K |