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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| fbet | 00gringo00 | BreakTheBank | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 71% (24–10, n=34) | 75% (6–2, n=8) | 45% (537–652, n=1189) | 56% (101–79, n=180) |
| Consensus PnL | $4.1K | $3.5M | $10.6M | $3.5M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #838 | was PM monthly #19 | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #373 |
| Sides with the consensus | 83% (20 of 24 open) | no open consensus position | 85% (50 of 59 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled | ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 81% of 27 at avg 69¢, ROI +8% | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 4% (won 0% of 1) | 0% | 10% (won 82% of 56) | 7% (won 75% of 8) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 19% (won 60% of 5) | 0% | 36% (won 98% of 198) | 26% (won 93% of 29) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 22% (won 67% of 6) | 100% (won 86% of 7) | 35% (won 99% of 191) | 42% (won 96% of 47) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 56% (won 100% of 15) | 0% | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 24% (won 96% of 27) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | fbet | 00gringo00 | BreakTheBank | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $520 | — | No $117K | — |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $9.3K | — | No $32K | — |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $4.6K | — | Yes $30K | — |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $2.2K | — | No $26K | — |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $577 | — | Yes $270K | — |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House same side · consensus Yes | Yes $3.2K | — | Yes $170K | — |
| Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $1.6K | — | Yes $32K | — |