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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| fbet | BreakTheBank | RN1 | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 71% (25–10, n=35) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) | 47% (13854–15338, n=29192) | 50% (1028–1027, n=2055) |
| Consensus PnL | $3.6K | $10.6M | $13.4M | $3.4M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #838 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | PM monthly #181 |
| Sides with the consensus | 76% (13 of 17 open) | 88% (133 of 151 open) | 60% (3 of 5 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 81% of 27 at avg 69¢, ROI +8% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 99% of 919 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 4% (won 0% of 1) | 10% (won 82% of 56) | 10% (won 57% of 2537) | 5% (won 94% of 49) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 19% (won 60% of 5) | 36% (won 98% of 198) | 22% (won 94% of 5518) | 42% (won 99% of 382) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 22% (won 67% of 6) | 35% (won 99% of 191) | 36% (won 99% of 8928) | 49% (won 99% of 446) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 56% (won 100% of 15) | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 32% (won 100% of 7821) | 5% (won 100% of 42) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | fbet | BreakTheBank | RN1 | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $22 | No $665K | — | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $530 | No $114K | — | — |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $4.7K | Yes $30K | — | — |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $2.2K | No $25K | — | — |
| Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $1.3K | Yes $30K | — | — |