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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| fbet | CORGII | sainttroplay | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 71% (24–10, n=34) | 61% (393–247, n=640) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 45% (537–652, n=1189) |
| Consensus PnL | $4.1K | $4.5M | $4.4M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #838 | PM monthly #68 | was PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 83% (20 of 24 open) | 0% (0 of 1 open) | no open consensus position | 85% (53 of 62 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 81% of 27 at avg 69¢, ROI +8% | 98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 4% (won 0% of 1) | 9% (won 92% of 36) | 0% | 10% (won 82% of 56) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 19% (won 60% of 5) | 56% (won 99% of 223) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 36% (won 98% of 198) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 22% (won 67% of 6) | 33% (won 100% of 133) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 35% (won 99% of 191) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 56% (won 100% of 15) | 2% (won 100% of 7) | 0% | 19% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | fbet | CORGII | sainttroplay | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $520 | — | — | No $117K |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $9.3K | — | — | No $32K |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $4.6K | — | — | Yes $30K |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $2.2K | — | — | No $26K |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $577 | — | — | Yes $270K |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House same side · consensus Yes | Yes $3.2K | — | — | Yes $170K |
| Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $1.6K | — | — | Yes $32K |