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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| fbet | beachboy4 | 00gringo00 | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 71% (24–10, n=34) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 75% (6–2, n=8) | 45% (537–650, n=1187) |
| Consensus PnL | $4.8K | $5.8M | $3.5M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #838 | was PM monthly #24 | was PM monthly #19 | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 84% (21 of 25 open) | 100% (2 of 2 open) | no open consensus position | 81% (58 of 72 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled | ||
| Weakest topic | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 81% of 27 at avg 69¢, ROI +8% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 4% (won 0% of 1) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 0% | 10% (won 85% of 53) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 19% (won 60% of 5) | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 0% | 36% (won 98% of 192) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 22% (won 67% of 6) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 100% (won 86% of 7) | 35% (won 99% of 187) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 56% (won 100% of 15) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 0% | 20% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | fbet | beachboy4 | 00gringo00 | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $545 | — | — | No $112K |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $9.3K | — | — | No $34K |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $4.7K | — | — | Yes $30K |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $2.2K | — | — | No $26K |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $569 | — | — | Yes $270K |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House same side · consensus Yes | Yes $3.2K | — | — | Yes $170K |
| Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $2.6K | — | — | Yes $36K |