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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| ferdinand2 | joseph00677 | surfandturf | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 50% (649–657, n=1306) | 50% (10–10, n=20) | 52% (273–252, n=525) | 47% (13868–15346, n=29214) |
| Consensus PnL | $63K | $5.3M | $4.1M | $13.4M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #491 | PM monthly #2 | was PM monthly #326 | PM monthly #24 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 45% (39 of 87 open) | no open consensus position | 0% (0 of 2 open) | 94% (15 of 16 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | Soccer −3 pts, n=419 | — | NFL −11 pts, n=58 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 51% of 554 at avg 52¢, ROI +3% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 53% of 536 at avg 53¢, ROI 0% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 24% (won 5% of 131) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 20% (won 12% of 109) | 10% (won 57% of 2537) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 39% of 132) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 21% (won 46% of 114) | 22% (won 94% of 5518) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 23% (won 64% of 130) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 33% (won 60% of 176) | 36% (won 99% of 8928) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 29% (won 88% of 161) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 26% (won 82% of 137) | 32% (won 100% of 7821) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | ferdinand2 | joseph00677 | surfandturf | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Xinyu Wang vs Adithya Karunaratne opposite sides · consensus Xinyu Wang | Adithya Karunaratne $2 | — | — | Xinyu Wang $1.8K |
| CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $2 | — | — | Over $124 |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Alejandro Tabilo vs Rafael Jodar opposite sides · consensus Rafael Jodar | Rafael Jodar $19 | — | — | Alejandro Tabilo $59 |
| Will CD Leganés win on 2026-11-02? same side · consensus No | No $575 | — | — | No $11K |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Luca Van Assche vs Mariano Navone same side · consensus Luca Van Assche | Luca Van Assche $5 | — | — | Luca Van Assche $1.4K |
| Will CD Tenerife win on 2026-11-01? same side · consensus No | No $6 | — | — | No $306 |
| Chonburi FC vs. BG Pathum United: 1st Half O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $3 | — | — | Under $98 |