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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ferrariChampions2026FlaznorpMulticoloured-Serfndb1
Record (consensus markets)43% (11761–15331, n=27092)55% (13298–10666, n=23964)47% (448–500, n=948)63% (1101–635, n=1736)
Consensus PnL-$9.4M$1.4M$519K$4.6M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #87PM monthly #14PM monthly #11PM monthly #109
Sides with the consensus64% (7 of 11 open)69% (94 of 137 open)75% (3 of 4 open)71% (67 of 95 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topic—NFL −24 pts, n=12—NFL −7 pts, n=158
Settled positions, side won100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8%56% of 3115 at avg 55¢, ROI +22%100% of 411 at avg 52¢, ROI +50%66% of 1537 at avg 66¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢4% (won 97% of 237)30% (won 9% of 919)1% (won 100% of 4)13% (won 14% of 196)
Entries 30–50¢26% (won 100% of 1446)15% (won 37% of 455)47% (won 100% of 194)18% (won 40% of 283)
Entries 50–70¢40% (won 100% of 2198)14% (won 63% of 439)47% (won 100% of 194)23% (won 58% of 348)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 100% of 1675)42% (won 94% of 1302)5% (won 100% of 19)46% (won 94% of 710)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

6 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketferrariChampions2026FlaznorpMulticoloured-Serfndb1
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $148Yes $2.7K——
Bills vs. Vikings
opposite sides · consensus Bills
—Bills $76Vikings $923—
Hersonissos 3: Nikita Mashtakov vs Adrian Andreev
same side · consensus Adrian Andreev
Adrian Andreev $14KAdrian Andreev $4.6K——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $1.2KUnder $13K——
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Adolfo Vallejo vs Ugo Humbert
same side · consensus Ugo Humbert
Ugo Humbert $7.1KUgo Humbert $591——
Nuggets vs. Rockets
same side · consensus Rockets
—Rockets $1.1KRockets $943—
UFC 334: Josh Hokit vs. Ciryl Gane (Heavyweight, Main Card)
same side · consensus Josh Hokit
—Josh Hokit $20Josh Hokit $41—
Hersonissos 3: Alexandre Reco vs Lorenzo Carboni
same side · consensus Lorenzo Carboni
Alexandre Reco $20Alexandre Reco $15——