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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ferrariChampions2026fkALG2FalconsTESFlaznorpprimm
Record (consensus markets)43% (11774–15353, n=27127)61% (1498–951, n=2449)55% (13343–10705, n=24048)47% (1430–1597, n=3027)
Consensus PnL-$9.5M$834K$1.4M$3.7M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #87PM monthly #88PM monthly #14PM monthly #41
Sides with the consensus63% (10 of 16 open)no open consensus position66% (80 of 121 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • Esports +22 pts n=1348, ROI +6%
  • NBA +12 pts n=537, ROI +6%
Weakest topic——NFL −24 pts, n=12—
Settled positions, side won100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8%92% of 1889 at avg 73¢, ROI +6%56% of 3115 at avg 55¢, ROI +22%99% of 1269 at avg 51¢, ROI +50%
Entries under 30¢4% (won 97% of 237)4% (won 73% of 84)30% (won 9% of 919)5% (won 95% of 59)
Entries 30–50¢26% (won 100% of 1446)16% (won 84% of 306)15% (won 37% of 455)40% (won 99% of 512)
Entries 50–70¢40% (won 100% of 2198)25% (won 88% of 470)14% (won 63% of 439)50% (won 100% of 633)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 100% of 1675)54% (won 98% of 1029)42% (won 94% of 1302)5% (won 100% of 65)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketferrariChampions2026fkALG2FalconsTESFlaznorpprimm
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $141—Yes $2.8K—
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Tomas Machac vs Borna Gojo
opposite sides · consensus Tomas Machac
Borna Gojo $1.3K—Tomas Machac $1.0K—
Hersonissos 3: Massimo Giunta vs Francesco Forti
opposite sides · consensus Massimo Giunta
Francesco Forti $220—Massimo Giunta $609—
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: James Duckworth vs Cameron Norrie
same side · consensus Cameron Norrie
Cameron Norrie $15K—Cameron Norrie $12K—
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Alex Michelsen vs Yannick Hanfmann
same side · consensus Alex Michelsen
Alex Michelsen $14K—Alex Michelsen $5.5K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $1.2K—Under $13K—