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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| ferrariChampions2026 | ndb1 | primm | Smallcoins | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 44% (11396–14488, n=25884) | 63% (1096–631, n=1727) | 50% (1248–1261, n=2509) | 54% (1180–996, n=2176) |
| Consensus PnL | -$8.8M | $4.6M | $3.6M | $119K |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #87 | PM monthly #110 | PM monthly #47 | PM monthly #734 |
| Sides with the consensus | 65% (46 of 71 open) | 72% (71 of 98 open) | 80% (8 of 10 open) | no open consensus position |
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| Weakest topic | — | NFL −8 pts, n=147 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8% | 64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% | 99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% | 82% of 1267 at avg 69¢, ROI +11% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 4% (won 97% of 237) | 13% (won 14% of 187) | 5% (won 94% of 51) | 14% (won 39% of 181) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 26% (won 100% of 1446) | 19% (won 39% of 269) | 41% (won 99% of 421) | 9% (won 55% of 118) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 40% (won 100% of 2198) | 23% (won 57% of 328) | 49% (won 99% of 508) | 12% (won 71% of 157) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 100% of 1675) | 44% (won 94% of 622) | 5% (won 100% of 47) | 64% (won 98% of 811) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | ferrariChampions2026 | ndb1 | primm | Smallcoins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raiders vs. 49ers opposite sides · consensus 49ers | Raiders $7.7K | — | 49ers $88K | — |
| Packers vs. Patriots opposite sides · consensus Packers | Patriots $5.8K | — | Packers $84K | — |
| Spread: Texans (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Texans | Chargers $2 | — | Texans $2.7K | — |
| Spread: Seahawks (-9.5) opposite sides · consensus Cardinals | Seahawks $149 | — | Cardinals $598 | — |
| Cardinals vs. Seahawks same side · consensus Seahawks | Seahawks $85K | — | Seahawks $5.3K | — |
| Spread: Texans (-5.5) same side · consensus Texans | Texans $68K | — | Texans $11K | — |
| Texans vs. Chargers same side · consensus Texans | Texans $54K | — | Texans $1.7K | — |
| Raiders vs. 49ers: O/U 52.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $3.2K | — | Under $651 | — |