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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| flawfence | 00gringo00 | BreakTheBank | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 52% (260–241, n=501) | 75% (6–2, n=8) | 45% (537–650, n=1187) | 56% (101–79, n=180) |
| Consensus PnL | $910K | $3.5M | $10.6M | $3.5M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #34 | was PM monthly #19 | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #373 |
| Sides with the consensus | 52% (55 of 105 open) | no open consensus position | 85% (53 of 62 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled | |||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 88% of 312 at avg 57¢, ROI +30% | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 18% (won 53% of 55) | 0% | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 7% (won 75% of 8) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 20% (won 94% of 63) | 0% | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 26% (won 93% of 29) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 28% (won 93% of 86) | 100% (won 86% of 7) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 42% (won 96% of 47) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 35% (won 99% of 108) | 0% | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 24% (won 96% of 27) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | flawfence | 00gringo00 | BreakTheBank | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $65K | — | No $278K | — |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $1.5K | — | No $250K | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $5.4K | — | No $112K | — |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $7.4K | — | No $34K | — |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $4.4K | — | No $26K | — |
| Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $5.0K | — | Yes $81K | — |
| Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $4.1K | — | Yes $2.6K | — |