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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ghorrockRN1beachboy4
Record (consensus markets)53% (6114–5447, n=11561)48% (12823–13908, n=26731)68% (43–20, n=63)
Consensus PnL-$16K$13.4M$5.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #509PM monthly #24 + pinnedwas PM monthly #24
Sides with the consensus67% (242 of 363 open)60% (27 of 45 open)100% (1 of 1 open)
Strongest topics
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
Weakest topic——NBA −6 pts, n=92
Settled positions, side won99% of 2068 at avg 72¢, ROI +10%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%
Entries under 30¢4% (won 87% of 90)10% (won 56% of 2534)3% (won 17% of 6)
Entries 30–50¢18% (won 100% of 369)22% (won 94% of 5497)29% (won 56% of 62)
Entries 50–70¢19% (won 100% of 401)36% (won 99% of 8897)54% (won 51% of 115)
Entries 70¢ and up58% (won 100% of 1208)31% (won 100% of 7736)14% (won 86% of 29)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketghorrockRN1beachboy4
Spread: Cowboys (-13.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cardinals
Cowboys $5Cardinals $11K—
Spread: Steelers (-14.5)
opposite sides · consensus Browns
Browns $5Steelers $9.1K—
Celtics vs. Magic: O/U 224.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $13Under $954—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $36Over $2.4K—