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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| ghorrock | RN1 | beachboy4 | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 53% (6114–5447, n=11561) | 48% (12823–13908, n=26731) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 50% (941–941, n=1882) |
| Consensus PnL | -$16K | $13.4M | $5.8M | $3.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #509 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #181 |
| Sides with the consensus | 68% (275 of 407 open) | 71% (15 of 21 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 52% (11 of 21 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 99% of 2068 at avg 72¢, ROI +10% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 4% (won 87% of 90) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 5% (won 93% of 43) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 18% (won 100% of 369) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 41% (won 99% of 366) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 19% (won 100% of 401) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 49% (won 99% of 433) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 58% (won 100% of 1208) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 5% (won 100% of 41) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
8 on the same side, 7 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | ghorrock | RN1 | beachboy4 | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Buccaneers (-10.5) opposite sides · consensus Falcons | — | Falcons $2.7K | — | Buccaneers $3.0K |
| Patriots vs. Dolphins: O/U 38.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $7 | — | — | Over $1.2K |
| Spread: Patriots (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Dolphins | Patriots $35 | — | — | Dolphins $1.1K |
| Chargers vs. Rams: O/U 46.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $13 | — | — | Under $250 |
| Spread: Patriots (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Patriots | Dolphins $8 | — | — | Patriots $57 |
| Patriots vs. Dolphins: O/U 42.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $20 | — | — | Over $22 |
| Chiefs vs. Broncos: O/U 50.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $8 | — | — | Over $7 |
| Chiefs vs. Broncos same side · consensus Chiefs | Broncos $18 | — | — | Broncos $6.8K |
| Patriots vs. Dolphins: O/U 32.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $20 | — | — | Over $5.8K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $36 | Over $2.4K | — | — |
| Spread: Dolphins (-2.5) same side · consensus Dolphins | Patriots $2 | — | — | Patriots $1.8K |
| Spread: Dolphins (-3.5) same side · consensus Patriots | Patriots $8 | — | — | Patriots $1.3K |
| Spread: Chiefs (-6.5) same side · consensus Chiefs | Broncos $11 | — | — | Broncos $247 |
| Spread: Patriots (-1.5) same side · consensus Patriots | Patriots $21 | — | — | Patriots $14 |
| Chiefs vs. Broncos: O/U 44.5 same side · consensus Under | Over $9 | — | — | Over $4 |