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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
googleplaylalalalalalallalalalalaRN1robloxgamblemaster-2008-10-18
Record (consensus markets)33% (2–4, n=6)no settled market67% (383–189, n=572)65% (13–7, n=20)
Consensus PnL$320K—-$126K$261K
Tracked asPM monthly #19was PM monthly #736PM monthly #43 + pinnedPM monthly #17 + pinned
Sides with the consensus33% (1 of 3 open)no open consensus position62% (88 of 142 open)57% (8 of 14 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +32 pts n=50, ROI +31%
not computed yetnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won83% of 54 at avg 53¢, ROI +30%—100% of 240 at avg 63¢, ROI +36%100% of 9 at avg 49¢, ROI +49%
Entries under 30¢0%—1% (won 100% of 3)11% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢19% (won 70% of 10)—26% (won 100% of 62)33% (won 100% of 3)
Entries 50–70¢76% (won 85% of 41)—40% (won 100% of 95)44% (won 100% of 4)
Entries 70¢ and up6% (won 100% of 3)—33% (won 100% of 80)11% (won 100% of 1)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketgoogleplaylalalalalalallalalalalaRN1robloxgamblemaster-2008-10-18
Thunder vs. Trail Blazers
opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers
Trail Blazers $52K——Thunder $117K
Heat vs. Jazz: O/U 227.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $84K—Over $354—
Heat vs. Jazz
opposite sides · consensus Heat
——Heat $17KJazz $17K
Clippers vs. Suns
same side · consensus Suns
——Suns $11KSuns $149K
Spread: Suns (-3.5)
same side · consensus Suns
——Suns $528Suns $54K
Spread: Magic (-6.5)
same side · consensus Magic
——Kings $520Kings $369