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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| gopfan2 | BreakTheBank | 00gringo00 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 57% (618–474, n=1092) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) | 75% (6–2, n=8) | 47% (13854–15338, n=29192) |
| Consensus PnL | $1.7M | $10.6M | $3.5M | $13.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #370 + pinned | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #19 | PM monthly #24 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 91% (43 of 47 open) | 89% (128 of 144 open) | no open consensus position | 100% (4 of 4 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled |
| |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 74% of 1204 at avg 58¢, ROI +13% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 22% (won 17% of 261) | 10% (won 82% of 56) | 0% | 10% (won 57% of 2537) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 16% (won 75% of 197) | 36% (won 98% of 198) | 0% | 22% (won 94% of 5518) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 18% (won 87% of 219) | 35% (won 99% of 191) | 100% (won 86% of 7) | 36% (won 99% of 8928) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 44% (won 96% of 527) | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 0% | 32% (won 100% of 7821) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 7 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | gopfan2 | BreakTheBank | 00gringo00 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $242 | Yes $274K | — | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $221 | No $114K | — | — |
| Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $255 | Yes $83K | — | — |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $17K | Yes $30K | — | — |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $18K | No $25K | — | — |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $6.7K | No $32K | — | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $2.7K | Yes $33K | — | — |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House same side · consensus Yes | Yes $35K | Yes $172K | — | — |