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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| hedgevaultmainnet1 | sainttroplay | RN1 | beachboy4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 55% (2132–1776, n=3908) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 48% (12823–13908, n=26731) | 68% (43–20, n=63) |
| Consensus PnL | -$110K | $4.4M | $13.4M | $5.8M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #813 | was PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | was PM monthly #24 |
| Sides with the consensus | 57% (21 of 37 open) | no open consensus position | 65% (99 of 152 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 |
| Settled positions, side won | 95% of 1390 at avg 66¢, ROI +20% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 7% (won 61% of 100) | 0% | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 3% (won 17% of 6) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 16% (won 92% of 218) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 29% (won 56% of 62) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 27% (won 97% of 376) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 54% (won 51% of 115) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 50% (won 100% of 696) | 0% | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 14% (won 86% of 29) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | hedgevaultmainnet1 | sainttroplay | RN1 | beachboy4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elche CF vs. Valencia CF: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $9 | — | Under $5.9K | — |
| Will Académico de Viseu FC win on 2026-11-01? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $10 | — | No $1.5K | — |
| Titans vs. Bengals opposite sides · consensus Bengals | Bengals $227 | — | Titans $658 | — |
| Will Elche CF win on 2026-11-01? same side · consensus Yes | No $9.5K | — | No $15K | — |
| Will Valencia CF win on 2026-11-01? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $1.5K | — | Yes $12K | — |
| Cardinals vs. Cowboys same side · consensus Cowboys | Cowboys $13 | — | Cowboys $11K | — |
| Falcons vs. Buccaneers same side · consensus Buccaneers | Falcons $713 | — | Falcons $1.8K | — |