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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| heyboy800 | RN1 | BreakTheBank | 00gringo00 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 62% (1086–661, n=1747) | 48% (12896–14023, n=26919) | 45% (537–650, n=1187) | 75% (6–2, n=8) |
| Consensus PnL | -$23K | $13.4M | $10.6M | $3.5M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #975 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #19 |
| Sides with the consensus | 50% (1 of 2 open) | 63% (12 of 19 open) | 85% (55 of 65 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
|
| none with 10+ settled | |
| Weakest topic | Tennis −3 pts, n=213 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 1405 at avg 59¢, ROI 0% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 4% (won 15% of 55) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 18% (won 40% of 258) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 0% |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 53% (won 59% of 738) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 100% (won 86% of 7) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 25% (won 79% of 354) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | heyboy800 | RN1 | BreakTheBank | 00gringo00 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eagles vs. Commanders: O/U 40.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $4.9K | Over $678 | — | — |
| Eagles vs. Commanders same side · consensus Commanders | Commanders $5.8K | — | Commanders $904K | — |
| Spread: Commanders (-6.5) same side · consensus Commanders | — | Commanders $65 | Commanders $82K | — |
| Spread: Commanders (-4.5) same side · consensus Commanders | — | Commanders $125 | Commanders $32K | — |