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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| hi774c | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 51% (3867–3704, n=7571) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) | 50% (941–941, n=1882) |
| Consensus PnL | $142K | $5.8M | $10.6M | $3.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #256 | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #181 |
| Sides with the consensus | 50% (8 of 16 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 73% (72 of 98 open) | 40% (4 of 10 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 3518 at avg 48¢, ROI +48% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 7% (won 100% of 247) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 5% (won 93% of 43) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 55% (won 100% of 1925) | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 41% (won 99% of 366) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 32% (won 100% of 1127) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 49% (won 99% of 433) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 6% (won 99% of 219) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 5% (won 100% of 41) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | hi774c | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chiefs vs. Broncos opposite sides · consensus Chiefs | — | — | Chiefs $465K | Broncos $18K |
| Spread: Commanders (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Eagles | Eagles $4.0K | — | Commanders $11K | — |
| Spread: Chiefs (-9.5) same side · consensus Chiefs | Chiefs $47 | — | — | Chiefs $1.0K |