Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
iWasEnoughbeachboy4RN1CORGII
Record (consensus markets)55% (5265–4241, n=9506)68% (43–20, n=63)47% (13860–15343, n=29203)62% (395–247, n=642)
Consensus PnL$37K$5.8M$13.4M$4.5M
Tracked asPM monthly #335was PM monthly #24PM monthly #24 + pinnedPM monthly #68
Sides with the consensus65% (64 of 99 open)100% (2 of 2 open)67% (4 of 6 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
Weakest topicEsports −2 pts, n=303NBA −6 pts, n=93——
Settled positions, side won50% of 1914 at avg 47¢, ROI +1%57% of 213 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%
Entries under 30¢26% (won 17% of 507)3% (won 17% of 6)10% (won 57% of 2537)9% (won 92% of 36)
Entries 30–50¢29% (won 38% of 559)30% (won 57% of 63)22% (won 94% of 5518)56% (won 99% of 223)
Entries 50–70¢24% (won 64% of 461)54% (won 51% of 115)36% (won 99% of 8928)33% (won 100% of 133)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 92% of 387)14% (won 86% of 29)32% (won 100% of 7821)2% (won 100% of 7)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketiWasEnoughbeachboy4RN1CORGII
Rolex Paris Masters: Luca Van Assche vs Mariano Navone
opposite sides · consensus Mariano Navone
Luca Van Assche $149—Mariano Navone $3—
Rolex Paris Masters: Lorenzo Musetti vs Hubert Hurkacz
same side · consensus Hubert Hurkacz
Lorenzo Musetti $165—Lorenzo Musetti $38K—