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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| ic4cream | BreakTheBank | 00gringo00 | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 61% (2617–1700, n=4317) | 45% (537–650, n=1187) | 75% (6–2, n=8) | 50% (986–968, n=1954) |
| Consensus PnL | $495K | $10.6M | $3.5M | $3.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #65 | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #19 | PM monthly #181 |
| Sides with the consensus | 17% (2 of 12 open) | 85% (53 of 62 open) | no open consensus position | 63% (5 of 8 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled |
| |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 2426 at avg 59¢, ROI +40% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% | 99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 2% (won 100% of 38) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 0% | 5% (won 93% of 43) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 23% (won 100% of 557) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 0% | 41% (won 99% of 366) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 49% (won 100% of 1190) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 100% (won 86% of 7) | 49% (won 99% of 433) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 26% (won 100% of 641) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 0% | 5% (won 100% of 41) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | ic4cream | BreakTheBank | 00gringo00 | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Commanders (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Commanders | — | Commanders $44K | — | Eagles $1.3K |
| Spread: Commanders (-6.5) same side · consensus Commanders | — | Commanders $188K | — | Commanders $1.3K |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | Yes $10K | Yes $36K | — | — |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | No $1.8K | No $26K | — | — |