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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| ic4cream | CORGII | BreakTheBank | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 61% (2622–1703, n=4325) | 61% (394–247, n=641) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) | 47% (13849–15328, n=29177) |
| Consensus PnL | $495K | $4.5M | $10.6M | $13.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #65 | PM monthly #68 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #24 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 17% (2 of 12 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 89% (143 of 160 open) | 50% (2 of 4 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 2428 at avg 59¢, ROI +40% | 98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 2% (won 100% of 38) | 9% (won 92% of 36) | 10% (won 82% of 56) | 10% (won 57% of 2537) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 23% (won 100% of 560) | 56% (won 99% of 223) | 36% (won 98% of 198) | 22% (won 94% of 5518) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 49% (won 100% of 1189) | 33% (won 100% of 133) | 35% (won 99% of 191) | 36% (won 99% of 8928) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 26% (won 100% of 641) | 2% (won 100% of 7) | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 32% (won 100% of 7821) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | ic4cream | CORGII | BreakTheBank | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | Yes $9.9K | — | Yes $34K | — |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | No $1.8K | — | No $26K | — |