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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| ic4cream | CORGII | beachboy4 | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 61% (2614–1689, n=4303) | 62% (393–245, n=638) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 50% (941–941, n=1882) |
| Consensus PnL | $495K | $4.5M | $5.8M | $3.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #65 | PM monthly #68 | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #181 |
| Sides with the consensus | 15% (2 of 13 open) | 0% (0 of 4 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 61% (19 of 31 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 2426 at avg 59¢, ROI +40% | 98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 2% (won 100% of 38) | 9% (won 92% of 36) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 5% (won 93% of 43) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 23% (won 100% of 557) | 56% (won 99% of 223) | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 41% (won 99% of 366) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 49% (won 100% of 1190) | 33% (won 100% of 133) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 49% (won 99% of 433) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 26% (won 100% of 641) | 2% (won 100% of 7) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 5% (won 100% of 41) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | ic4cream | CORGII | beachboy4 | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 64.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $9 | — | — | Under $2.8K |