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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ifyoulovemendb1primmRN1
Record (consensus markets)57% (357–271, n=628)63% (1096–631, n=1727)50% (1248–1261, n=2509)48% (17938–19366, n=37304)
Consensus PnL$66K$4.6M$3.6M$14.9M
Tracked asPM monthly #313PM monthly #110PM monthly #47PM monthly #25 + pinned
Sides with the consensus76% (52 of 68 open)73% (72 of 99 open)67% (6 of 9 open)55% (35 of 64 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topicGeopolitics ±0 pts, n=87NFL −8 pts, n=147——
Settled positions, side won53% of 572 at avg 48¢, ROI +6%64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢37% (won 15% of 211)13% (won 14% of 187)5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 55% of 94)19% (won 39% of 269)41% (won 99% of 421)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢16% (won 65% of 92)23% (won 57% of 328)49% (won 99% of 508)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up31% (won 93% of 175)44% (won 94% of 622)5% (won 100% of 47)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketifyoulovemendb1primmRN1
Cardinals vs. Seahawks: O/U 42.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $13KOver $3.4K
Spread: Texans (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Texans
——Texans $11KChargers $3.6K
Spread: Seahawks (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cardinals
——Cardinals $2.1KSeahawks $9.8K
Cardinals vs. Seahawks
opposite sides · consensus Seahawks
——Cardinals $5.5KSeahawks $3.8K
Spread: Seahawks (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Seahawks
——Cardinals $737Seahawks $5.6K
Spread: Seahawks (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Seahawks
——Cardinals $85Seahawks $4.3K
Packers vs. Patriots
same side · consensus Packers
——Packers $87KPackers $4.6K
Spread: Texans (-4.5)
same side · consensus Texans
——Texans $2.7KTexans $7.1K