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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| immanuelcan | BreakTheBank | 00gringo00 | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 55% (670–541, n=1211) | 45% (537–647, n=1184) | 75% (6–2, n=8) | 50% (969–959, n=1928) |
| Consensus PnL | $39K | $10.6M | $3.5M | $3.4M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #955 | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #19 | PM monthly #181 |
| Sides with the consensus | 63% (30 of 48 open) | 73% (78 of 107 open) | no open consensus position | 33% (1 of 3 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 85% of 820 at avg 55¢, ROI +24% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% | 99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 13% (won 29% of 109) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 0% | 5% (won 93% of 43) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 25% (won 90% of 201) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 0% | 41% (won 99% of 366) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 93% of 287) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 100% (won 86% of 7) | 49% (won 99% of 433) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 27% (won 96% of 223) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 0% | 5% (won 100% of 41) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | immanuelcan | BreakTheBank | 00gringo00 | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $14 | No $35K | — | — |
| Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $643 | No $16K | — | — |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus No | Yes $146 | Yes $77K | — | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | Yes $13 | Yes $39K | — | — |