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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
jakepaulthegoat2008RN1CORGIIprimm
Record (consensus markets)50% (2807–2840, n=5647)48% (12823–13908, n=26731)62% (393–245, n=638)50% (941–941, n=1882)
Consensus PnL-$602K$13.4M$4.5M$3.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #43 + pinnedPM monthly #24 + pinnedPM monthly #68PM monthly #181
Sides with the consensus54% (7 of 13 open)61% (28 of 46 open)25% (1 of 4 open)63% (5 of 8 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topicTennis −1 pts, n=412———
Settled positions, side won52% of 4628 at avg 49¢, ROI +5%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢14% (won 23% of 643)10% (won 56% of 2534)9% (won 92% of 36)5% (won 93% of 43)
Entries 30–50¢43% (won 46% of 1991)22% (won 94% of 5497)56% (won 99% of 223)41% (won 99% of 366)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 59% of 1343)36% (won 99% of 8897)33% (won 100% of 133)49% (won 99% of 433)
Entries 70¢ and up14% (won 80% of 651)31% (won 100% of 7736)2% (won 100% of 7)5% (won 100% of 41)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketjakepaulthegoat2008RN1CORGIIprimm
Spread: Buccaneers (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers
—Falcons $2.7K—Buccaneers $3.0K
Counter-Strike: DENDELE CS vs Imperial (BO5) - Gamers Club Masters Playoffs
same side · consensus DENDELE CS
Imperial $41K—Imperial $7.9K—
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A
same side · consensus TheMongolz
TheMongolz $29K—TheMongolz $2.2K—
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A
same side · consensus Heroic
B8 $2.4K—B8 $22K—