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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
jakepaulthegoat2008beachboy4BreakTheBankRN1
Record (consensus markets)50% (2807–2840, n=5647)68% (43–20, n=63)45% (526–640, n=1166)48% (12823–13908, n=26731)
Consensus PnL-$602K$5.8M$10.6M$13.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #43 + pinnedwas PM monthly #24PM monthly #1PM monthly #24 + pinned
Sides with the consensus54% (7 of 13 open)100% (1 of 1 open)73% (72 of 98 open)61% (28 of 46 open)
Strongest topics
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topicTennis −1 pts, n=412NBA −6 pts, n=92——
Settled positions, side won52% of 4628 at avg 49¢, ROI +5%57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢14% (won 23% of 643)3% (won 17% of 6)10% (won 85% of 53)10% (won 56% of 2534)
Entries 30–50¢43% (won 46% of 1991)29% (won 56% of 62)36% (won 98% of 192)22% (won 94% of 5497)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 59% of 1343)54% (won 51% of 115)35% (won 99% of 187)36% (won 99% of 8897)
Entries 70¢ and up14% (won 80% of 651)14% (won 86% of 29)20% (won 100% of 107)31% (won 100% of 7736)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketjakepaulthegoat2008beachboy4BreakTheBankRN1
Spread: Celtics (-6.5)
same side · consensus Magic
——Magic $51KMagic $228
Celtics vs. Magic
same side · consensus Celtics
Magic $8.5K—Magic $24K—
Spread: Celtics (-8.5)
same side · consensus Magic
——Magic $13KMagic $161