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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
keeptheblueflagflyinghighRN1CORGII
Record (consensus markets)45% (508–621, n=1129)48% (12823–13908, n=26731)62% (393–245, n=638)
Consensus PnL$572K$13.4M$4.5M
Tracked asPM monthly #33PM monthly #24 + pinnedPM monthly #68
Sides with the consensus25% (4 of 16 open)53% (62 of 117 open)0% (0 of 4 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +52 pts n=308, ROI +50%
  • Soccer +48 pts n=45, ROI +45%
  • NHL +42 pts n=30, ROI +43%
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won100% of 427 at avg 50¢, ROI +48%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%
Entries under 30¢1% (won 100% of 6)10% (won 56% of 2534)9% (won 92% of 36)
Entries 30–50¢55% (won 100% of 235)22% (won 94% of 5497)56% (won 99% of 223)
Entries 50–70¢38% (won 100% of 162)36% (won 99% of 8897)33% (won 100% of 133)
Entries 70¢ and up6% (won 100% of 24)31% (won 100% of 7736)2% (won 100% of 7)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketkeeptheblueflagflyinghighRN1CORGII
Will Athletic Club vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $7No $2.6K—
Bratislava 2: Jonas Forejtek vs Ryan Seggerman
opposite sides · consensus Ryan Seggerman
Jonas Forejtek $854Ryan Seggerman $294—
Athletic Club vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $170Under $1.0K—
Celtics vs. Magic: O/U 218.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $835Under $213—
Costa do Sauipe: Leonardo Storck Franca vs Jose Pereira
same side · consensus Leonardo Storck Franca
Jose Pereira $306Jose Pereira $129—
Villa Maria: Felipe de Dios vs Joao Victor Couto Loureiro
same side · consensus Joao Victor Couto Loureiro
Felipe de Dios $287Felipe de Dios $1—