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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
keeptheblueflagflyinghighbeachboy4RN1
Record (consensus markets)45% (508–621, n=1129)68% (43–20, n=63)48% (12823–13908, n=26731)
Consensus PnL$572K$5.8M$13.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #33was PM monthly #24PM monthly #24 + pinned
Sides with the consensus38% (12 of 32 open)100% (1 of 1 open)52% (32 of 62 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +52 pts n=308, ROI +50%
  • Soccer +48 pts n=45, ROI +45%
  • NHL +42 pts n=30, ROI +43%
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
Weakest topic—NBA −6 pts, n=92—
Settled positions, side won100% of 427 at avg 50¢, ROI +48%57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢1% (won 100% of 6)3% (won 17% of 6)10% (won 56% of 2534)
Entries 30–50¢55% (won 100% of 235)29% (won 56% of 62)22% (won 94% of 5497)
Entries 50–70¢38% (won 100% of 162)54% (won 51% of 115)36% (won 99% of 8897)
Entries 70¢ and up6% (won 100% of 24)14% (won 86% of 29)31% (won 100% of 7736)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

5 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketkeeptheblueflagflyinghighbeachboy4RN1
Athletic Club vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $32—Over $7.0K
Will Athletic Club vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $7—No $2.6K
Bratislava 2: Jonas Forejtek vs Ryan Seggerman
opposite sides · consensus Ryan Seggerman
Jonas Forejtek $854—Ryan Seggerman $294
Spread: Celtics (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Magic
Celtics $410—Magic $161
Athletic Club vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $170—Under $1.0K
Celtics vs. Magic: O/U 218.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $835—Under $213
Costa do Sauipe: Leonardo Storck Franca vs Jose Pereira
same side · consensus Leonardo Storck Franca
Jose Pereira $306—Jose Pereira $129
Villa Maria: Felipe de Dios vs Joao Victor Couto Loureiro
same side · consensus Joao Victor Couto Loureiro
Felipe de Dios $287—Felipe de Dios $1
Spread: Celtics (-9.5)
same side · consensus Magic
Celtics $24—Celtics $3