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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| kegli | joseph00677 | 00gringo00 | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 53% (50–44, n=94) | 53% (10–9, n=19) | 75% (6–2, n=8) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) |
| Consensus PnL | $12K | $5.6M | $3.5M | $11.0M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #984 | PM monthly #2 | was PM monthly #19 | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 77% (23 of 30 open) | no open consensus position | no open consensus position | 87% (143 of 164 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| none with 10+ settled | |
| Weakest topic | Tennis −4 pts, n=22 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 34% of 70 at avg 32¢, ROI +2% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 59% (won 7% of 41) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 0% | 10% (won 82% of 56) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 7% (won 40% of 5) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 0% | 36% (won 98% of 198) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 13% (won 56% of 9) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 100% (won 86% of 7) | 35% (won 99% of 191) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 21% (won 93% of 15) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 0% | 19% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
8 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | kegli | joseph00677 | 00gringo00 | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus No | No $6 | — | — | No $407K |
| Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $2.8K | — | — | Yes $280K |
| Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus No | Yes $196 | — | — | Yes $22K |
| Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $538 | — | — | Yes $15K |
| Will Aston Villa win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $45 | — | — | Yes $1.8K |
| Will Tottenham win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $12 | — | — | Yes $1.8K |
| Will Newcastle United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $10 | — | — | Yes $374 |
| Will Brentford win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $8 | — | — | Yes $273 |